The crystal ball: predicting the next outbreak
Just after the 2014 Ebola outbreak, Bill Gates gave a TED talk entitled The next outbreak? We’re not ready. The irony is that we know outbreaks are coming and will keep on coming in the near future – but when, where and what are questions that are difficult to answer. Yet these questions need to be answered to help us be ‘ready’ for the next outbreak. I take a brief look at a few prediction models that are trying to answer these questions.